Saturday, February 26, 2011

Mike Huckabee Best Bet to beat Obama and turn North Carolina back to Red

In early March,  Mike Huckabee will be making four book tour stops in the battle ground state of North Carolina.  In 2008, McCain narrowly lost in the Tar Heel state to Obama flipping the red state to blue.  In order to turn that state back to it's historic red hue, Republicans best option would be to have Mike Huckabee at the top of the 2012 ticket.


Public Policy Polling
North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

    * Mike Huckabee 47%   {45%} [46%] (48%)
    * Barack Obama 46%   {49%} [45%] (44%)

    * Barack Obama 47% {47%} [46%] (44%)
    * Mitt Romney 44% {44%} [43%] (44%)

    * Barack Obama 48% {50%} [48%] (46%)
    * Newt Gingrich 44% {44%} [42%] (45%)

    * Barack Obama 51% {50%} [52%] (48%)
    * Sarah Palin 41% {41%} [38%] (43%)

Among Independents

    * Mike Huckabee 45%   {40%} [47%] (46%)
    * Barack Obama 40%    {51%} [37%] (37%)

    * Mitt Romney 42% {39%} [37%] (50%)
    * Barack Obama 41% {44%} [44%] (37%)

    * Barack Obama 45% {49%} [41%] (39%)
    * Newt Gingrich 38% {42%} [38%] (44%)

    * Barack Obama 54% {48%} [51%] (42%)
    * Sarah Palin 33% {32%} [33%] (46%)

Favorability

    * Mike Huckabee     43%  / 34%     +9%
    * Mitt Romney     37%  / 39%     -2%
    * Newt Gingrich   30%  / 48%    -18%
    * Sarah Palin        37%  / 57%     -20%

Survey of 650 North Carolina voters was conducted February 16-21, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

H/T  The Argo Journal  for compilation of data



PPP Nuggets: 

Only Huckabee bests McCain's less than one point loss here.

The main shift has occurred with independents. But while Obama led all 4 with independents previously, he now lags Huckabee 40-45.
Huckabee only GOPer with positive fav in NC- 43/34. Mitt at 37/39, Newt 30/48, Palin 37/57

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