Mike Huckabee would keep Missouri Red, otherwise it could be a Toss Up

In 2008, it was a nail biter between John McCain and Barack Obama: – 0.13 points/3,903 vote difference, McCain 1,445,814  49.36%  Obama 1,441,911  49.23%.  The GOP can ensure that Missouri stays red in 2012 by electing Mike Huckabee as their nominee.

Public Policy Polling

Missouri 2012 Presidential Survey

* Mike Huckabee 49% (49%)
* Barack Obama 43% (42%)

* Mitt Romney 44% (47%)

* Barack Obama 43% (41%)

* Barack Obama 44% (44%)

* Newt Gingrich 44% (45%)

* Barack Obama 48% (46%)

* Sarah Palin 43% (43%)

Among Independents

* Mike Huckabee 49% (49%)
* Barack Obama 35% (37%)

* Mitt Romney 45% (47%)

* Barack Obama 33% (35%)

* Newt Gingrich 41% (43%)

* Barack Obama 39% (41%)

* Barack Obama 43% (45%)

* Sarah Palin 40% (40%)

Among Men

* Mike Huckabee 51% (54%)
* Barack Obama 41% (38%)

* Mitt Romney 47% (52%)

* Barack Obama 40% (36%)

* Newt Gingrich 47% (50%)

* Barack Obama 42% (40%)

* Barack Obama 45% (43%)

* Sarah Palin 44% (48%)

Among Women

* Mike Huckabee 48% (46%)
* Barack Obama 45% (45%)

* Barack Obama 45% (46%)

* Mitt Romney 41% (42%)

* Barack Obama 46% (47%)

* Newt Gingrich 42% (41%)

* Barack Obama 50% (48%)

* Sarah Palin 42% (39%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

* Mike Huckabee 45% (51%) / 35% (29%) {+10%}

* Mitt Romney 32% (30%) / 44% (42%) {-12%}

* Newt Gingrich 31% (33%) / 50% (48%) {-19%}

* Sarah Palin 37% (39%) / 56% (53%) {-19%}

Among Republicans

* Mike Huckabee 72% (79%) / 14% (11%) {+58%}

* Sarah Palin 67% (69%) / 23% (22%) {+44%}

* Newt Gingrich 55% (60%) / 26% (25%) {+29%}

* Mitt Romney 46% (49%) / 29% (24%) {+17%}

Among Independents

* Mike Huckabee 54% (46%) / 30% (27%) {+24%}

* Mitt Romney 35% (26%) / 41% (39%) {-6%}

* Sarah Palin 34% (35%) / 59% (55%) {-25%}

* Newt Gingrich 28% (27%) / 55% (53%) {-27%}

Among Men

* Mike Huckabee 46% (55%) / 38% (31%) {+8%}

* Mitt Romney 32% (34%) / 49% (42%) {-17%}

* Sarah Palin 36% (44%) / 56% (50%) {-20%}

* Newt Gingrich 32% (36%) / 54% (51%) {-22%}

Among Women

* Mike Huckabee 44% (48%) / 33% (27%) {+11%}

* Mitt Romney 31% (27%) / 39% (42%) {-8%}

* Newt Gingrich 31% (31%) / 47% (46%) {-16%}

* Sarah Palin 38% (36%) / 56% (55%) {-18%}

Survey of 612 Missouri voters was conducted March 3-6, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

H/T The Argo Journal for compilation of data

PPP Nuggets:

Romney does worst with the GOP, pulling only 80% and leaving 16% undecided.

“Mike Huckabee is currently outperforming John McCain, but if President Obama faces anyone else, it’ll be another down-to-the-wire finish in Missouri,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.