Thursday, March 31, 2011

Head to Head: Mike Huckabee ties Obama, has Huge Lead over Obama amongst Independents


New polling out today shows Mike Huckabee and Barack Obama tied, with all other GOP candidates trailing.  What is most interesting in this poll, is Mike Huckabee's huge lead over Obama amongst Independents.  The key to winning the election in 2012 will be winning over those independents who swung to Obama in 2008.  Looks like Mike Huckabee already has a head start.

2012 Presidential Survey

    * Mike Huckabee 46%
    * Barack Obama 46%


    * Barack Obama 44%
    * Mitt Romney 43%

    * Barack Obama 46%
    * Chris Christie 40%

    * Barack Obama 48%
    * Tim Pawlenty 34%

    * Barack Obama 52%
    * Newt Gingrich 37%

    * Barack Obama 54%
    * Sarah Palin 34%

Among Independents

    * Mike Huckabee 49%
    * Barack Obama 40%


    * Chris Christie 43%
    * Barack Obama 40%

    * Barack Obama 45%
    * Mitt Romney 44%

    * Barack Obama 45%
    * Newt Gingrich 40%

    * Barack Obama 41%
    * Tim Pawlenty 33%

    * Barack Obama 52%
    * Sarah Palin 34%

In addition to the head to head matchups, Fairleigh Dickinson asked this question:

In 2012 there will be an election for President of the United States. To run as the Republican candidate for President, who would you prefer?

Among Republicans & GOP-Leaning Independents

    * Mike Huckabee 21%
    * Mitt Romney 19%
    * Chris Christie 11%
    * Sarah Palin 11%
    * Newt Gingrich 8%
    * Tim Pawlenty 5%
    * Unsure/Other 23%

Survey of 800 registered voters nationwide was conducted March 21-28, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

H/T The Argo Journal for compilation of data

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