Add another Midwestern state to the list surveyed where Mike Huckabee comes out on top. The myth that Huckabee was somehow a Southern regional candidate has been debunked with Public Policy Polling showing Huckabee leading in IL, MO, IA, NE, WI, AK, PA, tied in NJ and MI.
2012 Wisconsin GOP Primary Survey
* Mike Huckabee 23% [18%] (15%)
* Newt Gingrich 15% [13%] (14%)
* Sarah Palin 15% [21%] (18%)
* Mitt Romney 12% [17%] (12%)
* Tim Pawlenty 10% [10%] (8%)
* Ron Paul 5% [4%]
* Mitch Daniels 3% [2%] (2%)
* Someone else/Undecided 17% [12%] (28%)
Among Men
* Mike Huckabee 20% [16%] (16%)
* Newt Gingrich 16% [15%] (17%)
* Sarah Palin 16% [21%] (21%)
* Tim Pawlenty 13% [13%] (12%)
* Mitt Romney 11% [14%] (11%)
* Ron Paul 5% [5%]
* Mitch Daniels 4% [2%] (2%)
* Someone else/Undecided 15% [10%] (19%)
Among Women
* Mike Huckabee 26% [21%] (13%)
* Mitt Romney 14% [19%] (13%)
* Newt Gingrich 13% [11%] (10%)
* Sarah Palin 13% [21%] (14%)
* Ron Paul 6% [4%]
* Tim Pawlenty 6% [7%] (5%)
* Mitch Daniels 2% [2%] (3%)
* Someone else/Undecided 20% [15%] (39%)
Given the choices of Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Paul Ryan who would you most like to see as the Republican candidate for President next year?
* Paul Ryan 30%
* Mike Huckabee 17%
* Newt Gingrich 12%
* Mitt Romney 9%
* Sarah Palin 9%
* Ron Paul 5%
* Tim Pawlenty 4%
* Mitch Daniels 3%
* Someone else/Undecided 13%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
* Paul Ryan 67% / 10% {+57%}
* Sarah Palin 65% [71%] / 25% [21%] {+40%}
* Mike Huckabee 58% [59%] / 18% [22%] {+40%}
* Newt Gingrich 54% [56%] / 23% [24%] {+31%}
* Mitt Romney 49% [57%] / 25% [23%] {+24%}
Among Men
* Paul Ryan 71% / 10% {+61%}
* Sarah Palin 67% [74%] / 22% [20%] {+45%}
* Mike Huckabee 60% [59%] / 20% [24%] {+40%}
* Newt Gingrich 60% [61%] / 23% [27%] {+37%}
* Mitt Romney 50% [59%] / 26% [26%] {+24%}
Among Women
* Paul Ryan 61% / 9% {+52%}
* Mike Huckabee 55% [58%] / 17% [19%] {+38%}
* Sarah Palin 62% [67%] / 28% [21%] {+34%}
* Mitt Romney 47% [54%] / 24% [20%] {+23%}
* Newt Gingrich 46% [50%] / 24% [22%] {+22%}
Survey of 400 Republican primary voters was conducted February 24-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 43% Somewhat conservative; 34% Very conservative; 19% Moderate; 3% Somewhat liberal; 1% Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 26-28, 2010 are in parentheses.
Romney and Palin have both faded since December, and Huckabee surged.
The tough math for Romney continues here. His standing fades rightward: he places second to Huckabee at 19% with moderates, but falls to third at 14% with the 43%-plurality somewhat conservative, and only fourth at 7% with the 34% who are very conservative.
