Thursday, May 5, 2011

Mike Huckabee Continues to Lead CNN Republican Survey

Mike Huckabee continues to lead the CNN Republican Nomination Survey. As CNN indicated in their write up, the eventual GOP winner was leading the polls taken in April of the previous year. For the third month in a row, Mike Huckabee has led the CNN polling no matter which other potential candidates are added into the mix.

Mike Huckabee 16%
Donald Trump 14%
Mitt Romney 13%
Sarah Palin 11%
Newt Gingrich 10%
Ron Paul 10%

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted April 29-May 1, with 1,034 adult Americans questioned by telephone. All interviews were completed before the president announced that bin Laden, the founder and leader of the al Qaeda terrorist network and the man responsible for the 9/11 terrorist attacks, was killed by U.S. forces in Pakistan. The survey’s overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.

CNN Nuggets:
GOP primary match-ups are another matter – since the modern era of presidential primaries began in 1972, there have been six times when the GOP nomination was up for grabs. In five of those six election cycles, the eventual GOP winner was leading the polls taken in April of the previous year.

This indicator is another good reason for Mike Huckabee to jump into the race this summer.  

1 comment:

  1. I looked at the Real Clear Politics polling for April to see if we can "predict" who will win.

    They don't have the latest CNN poll up yet and I don't know if there are any others they've missed. But, looking at who won each of the polls done during the April time-frame they have listed now; it looks like there's a pretty good chance the winner of the nomination will be either Huckabee, Romney, or Trump. IMO Trump will continue losing support the more people get to know about him and his record of donating money to liberals and things like that. Thus, the race will probably really be between Huckabee and Romney.